Probability

Probability Problem: Tossing Three Unbiased Coins

Probability Problem: Tossing Three Unbiased Coins

Data Science and A.I. Lecture Series

 

Problem Statement

Three unbiased coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of:

  • At least two heads
  • At most two heads
  • All heads
  • Exactly one head
  • Exactly one tail

Step 1: Sample Space

The sample space \(S\) for tossing three unbiased coins is:

\[ S = \{HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT\} \]

The total number of outcomes is:

\[ |S| = 8 \]

Step 2: Probability of At Least Two Heads

Outcomes with two or more heads are:

\[ \{HHH, HHT, HTH, THH\} \]

The number of favorable outcomes is:

\[ 4 \]

The probability is:

\[ P(\text{At least two heads}) = \frac{\text{Favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{4}{8} = \frac{1}{2} \]

Step 3: Probability of At Most Two Heads

Outcomes with zero, one, or two heads are:

\[ \{HTT, THT, TTH, TTT, HHT, HTH, THH\} \]

The number of favorable outcomes is:

\[ 7 \]

The probability is:

\[ P(\text{At most two heads}) = \frac{\text{Favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{7}{8} \]

Step 4: Probability of All Heads

The only outcome with all heads is:

\[ \{HHH\} \]

The number of favorable outcomes is:

\[ 1 \]

The probability is:

\[ P(\text{All heads}) = \frac{\text{Favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{1}{8} \]

Step 5: Probability of Exactly One Head

Outcomes with exactly one head are:

\[ \{HTT, THT, TTH\} \]

The number of favorable outcomes is:

\[ 3 \]

The probability is:

\[ P(\text{Exactly one head}) = \frac{\text{Favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{3}{8} \]

Step 6: Probability of Exactly One Tail

Outcomes with exactly one tail are:

\[ \{HHT, HTH, THH\} \]

The number of favorable outcomes is:

\[ 3 \]

The probability is:

\[ P(\text{Exactly one tail}) = \frac{\text{Favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{3}{8} \]

Final Results

  • Probability of at least two heads: \( \frac{1}{2} \)
  • Probability of at most two heads: \( \frac{7}{8} \)
  • Probability of all heads: \( \frac{1}{8} \)
  • Probability of exactly one head: \( \frac{3}{8} \)
  • Probability of exactly one tail: \( \frac{3}{8} \)

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Tossing Three Unbiased Coins

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